“Prospects for the Economy and Inflation, and What It Means for the Fed and Financial Markets”
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Greenwich Sentinel·
- July 2, 2024·
Larry Kantor, an economist with extensive experience, discussed the U.S. economy's unexpected resilience despite interest rate hikes, noting that growth accelerated to over 4% in the second half of 2023 while inflation declined to the Federal Reserve's 2% target. He attributed this to the $5 trillion government stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic, which helped the economy rebound strongly despite initial job losses. Looking ahead to 2024, Kantor expects economic normalization with slower growth, a cooling labor market, and inflation settling in the 3-4% range, potentially leading to one or two quarter-percent rate cuts later this year.